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Red68
551220.7
98023.3
69631.0
Blue112
496417.9
257622.1
33050.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627120408010068112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#22
31.00.7
27.127.9
Auto9.1
Teleop14.5
End7.4
blue by 19.1
330
#5
50.13.8
34.738.5
Auto12.5
Teleop30.1
End7.4
Second
980
#26
23.30.7
19.520.2
Auto7.3
Teleop13.0
End3.0
red by 1.2
2576
#11
22.13.8
19.022.8
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End1.7
Third
5512
#48
20.70.7
14.615.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End3.9
red by 2.8
4964
#36
17.93.8
13.817.6
Auto2.7
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed