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Red72
476328.6
59722.4
432224.8
Blue89
119730.2
29435.6
512430.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628320401001201407289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4763
#10
28.60.4
20.921.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End6.6
blue by 7.0
294
#2
35.61.2
27.128.3
Auto8.2
Teleop22.2
End5.2
Second
4322
#15
24.80.4
20.721.0
Auto5.3
Teleop15.1
End4.4
blue by 5.6
5124
#18
30.51.2
24.625.8
Auto8.0
Teleop18.3
End4.1
Third
597
#49
22.40.4
22.122.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.5
End5.7
blue by 7.7
30.20.7
26.327.0
Auto8.5
Teleop16.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned