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Red62
166116.7
491321.2
96819.9
Blue77
499921.4
183623.2
386322.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4661020801001201406277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4913
#23
21.21.0
18.619.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.8
End2.3
blue by 2.0
1836
#42
23.21.7
19.721.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.2
End4.3
Second
968
#43
19.91.7
14.916.6
Auto3.1
Teleop14.3
End2.5
blue by 2.1
3863
#21
22.01.7
18.720.4
Auto3.4
Teleop13.8
End4.8
Third
1661
#54
16.71.7
13.214.9
Auto7.6
Teleop7.7
End1.5
blue by 4.6
4999
#37
21.41.7
18.320.0
Auto2.4
Teleop15.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
16%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed