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Red69
510214.7
423.6
420124.4
Blue78
386322.0
508924.0
476328.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647102040801001201406978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#38
24.40.1
26.826.9
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End3.0
blue by 4.2
4763
#10
28.60.6
26.426.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End6.6
Second
4
#53
23.60.1
23.123.2
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5
blue by 0.4
5089
#13
24.00.6
21.221.8
Auto9.8
Teleop11.0
End3.2
Third
5102
#58
14.70.1
13.213.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End2.9
blue by 7.3
3863
#21
22.00.6
20.420.9
Auto3.4
Teleop13.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed