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Red64
84819.5
164419.5
585121.1
Blue102
96819.9
476328.6
347629.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58790204010012064102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5851
#28
21.10.5
21.421.8
Auto7.7
Teleop11.0
End2.4
blue by 8.4
3476
#41
29.52.4
29.331.7
Auto6.4
Teleop20.3
End2.7
Second
848
#47
19.50.5
19.019.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End3.4
blue by 9.1
4763
#10
28.62.4
26.929.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End6.6
Third
1644
#50
19.50.5
19.019.5
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End5.0
blue by 0.4
968
#43
19.92.4
17.519.9
Auto3.1
Teleop14.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsMissed82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed