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Red69
175914.9
70217.5
330935.1
Blue111
33050.1
414117.2
501229.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67942040608012014016069111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#14
35.10.0
36.536.5
Auto8.8
Teleop23.1
End3.3
blue by 15.0
330
#5
50.12.5
46.649.1
Auto12.5
Teleop30.1
End7.4
Second
702
#56
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.2
Teleop14.5
End0.9
blue by 11.8
5012
#25
29.32.5
25.828.3
Auto8.2
Teleop15.5
End5.7
Third
1759
#57
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto3.2
Teleop11.6
End0.1
blue by 2.3
4141
#30
17.22.5
14.717.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed