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Red67
461925.0
59722.4
257622.1
Blue89
263742.2
491321.2
510214.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727940601001206789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4619
#34
25.00.4
25.425.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End5.2
blue by 17.2
42.20.9
42.343.2
Auto9.2
Teleop24.2
End8.9
Second
597
#49
22.40.4
22.822.4
Auto4.3
Teleop12.5
End5.7
red by 1.2
4913
#23
21.20.9
20.421.2
Auto7.1
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Third
2576
#11
22.10.4
22.522.1
Auto6.2
Teleop14.2
End1.7
red by 7.5
5102
#58
14.71.3
13.314.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed