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Red185
25452.7
167853.3
397029.6
Blue67
581726.0
132335.4
567724.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174915015020025018567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.2
53.553.3
Auto13.7
Teleop31.2
End8.4
red by 17.9
35.40.6
36.135.4
Auto9.3
Teleop22.6
End3.6
Second
254
#2
52.70.2
52.952.7
Auto13.8
Teleop32.7
End6.2
red by 26.8
5817
#35
26.00.7
26.726.0
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End3.1
Third
3970
#20
29.60.2
29.729.6
Auto5.7
Teleop17.4
End6.4
red by 5.3
5677
#12
24.20.7
24.924.2
Auto6.2
Teleop13.6
End4.4