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Red71
207325.5
70133.0
276122.3
Blue149
349527.1
605923.8
64926.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029040608012014016071149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#6
33.00.3
33.333.0
Auto9.8
Teleop18.2
End5.0
red by 6.0
3495
#18
27.10.8
26.727.5
Auto3.5
Teleop20.5
End3.1
Second
2073
#15
25.50.3
25.825.5
Auto1.5
Teleop21.4
End2.6
blue by 0.6
649
#33
26.10.8
25.826.5
Auto5.0
Teleop18.1
End3.0
Third
2761
#25
22.30.3
22.622.3
Auto9.0
Teleop10.4
End2.9
blue by 1.5
23.80.8
23.424.3
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1