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Red108
454328.5
348232.5
132335.4
Blue35
497313.7
276122.3
350121.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57582030405070809010010835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.45.7
18.624.3
Auto9.3
Teleop22.6
End3.6
red by 13.1
2761
#25
22.32.2
19.917.7
Auto9.0
Teleop10.4
End2.9
Second
32.55.7
17.323.0
Auto10.6
Teleop16.1
End5.8
red by 11.4
3501
#31
21.22.2
21.319.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End2.0
Third
4543
#39
28.55.7
20.826.5
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End4.9
red by 14.8
4973
#49
13.72.2
13.711.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed