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Red66
75117.9
397029.6
97215.8
Blue92
471124.6
167133.8
413527.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60712040801006692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#20
29.60.7
26.727.4
Auto5.7
Teleop17.4
End6.4
blue by 4.3
1671
#14
33.82.7
29.031.7
Auto6.7
Teleop21.3
End5.8
Second
751
#26
17.90.7
18.218.9
Auto6.1
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 9.7
4135
#13
27.62.7
16.218.9
Auto5.1
Teleop18.3
End4.2
Third
972
#45
15.80.7
14.815.5
Auto6.5
Teleop9.8
End-0.5
blue by 8.8
24.62.7
22.325.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed