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Qual 422016 Central Valley Regional
Red135
25452.7
513632.4
549620.8
Blue62
454328.5
167133.8
145815.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101785015013562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
52.72.3
46.1→48.4
Auto13.8
Teleop32.7
End6.2
red by 18.9
1671
#14
33.81.9
31.7→29.8
Auto6.7
Teleop21.3
End5.8
Second
5136
#16
32.42.3
27.2→29.5
Auto9.5
Teleop19.0
End3.9
red by 3.9
4543
#39
28.51.9
27.2→25.3
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Third
5496
#38
20.82.3
21.1→23.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End4.5
red by 5.3
1458
#40
15.51.9
20.2→18.3
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed