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Red87
349527.1
207325.5
264318.2
Blue77
567724.2
350121.2
385922.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61630501001502008777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3495
#18
27.11.9
23.825.7
Auto3.5
Teleop20.5
End3.1
red by 2.8
5677
#12
24.21.8
21.423.2
Auto6.2
Teleop13.6
End4.4
Second
2073
#15
25.51.9
18.520.4
Auto1.5
Teleop21.4
End2.6
red by 3.2
3859
#11
22.41.8
20.322.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Third
2643
#34
18.21.9
17.319.2
Auto2.9
Teleop13.0
End2.3
blue by 2.9
3501
#31
21.21.8
19.421.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed