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Red57
281314.5
817.2
276122.3
Blue123
397029.6
25452.7
413527.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5311020408010012014016057123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2761
#25
22.31.4
24.222.8
Auto9.0
Teleop10.4
End2.9
blue by 30.4
254
#2
52.72.5
49.451.9
Auto13.8
Teleop32.7
End6.2
Second
8
#37
17.21.4
18.617.2
Auto6.4
Teleop8.1
End2.7
blue by 12.4
3970
#20
29.62.7
25.628.3
Auto5.7
Teleop17.4
End6.4
Third
2813
#43
14.51.5
17.716.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.3
End1.7
blue by 13.1
4135
#13
27.62.5
23.826.3
Auto5.1
Teleop18.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsMissed85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned