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Red70
213518.5
330325.7
549917.7
Blue77
350121.2
545823.4
397029.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687402040601001201407077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3303
#22
25.70.2
27.427.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.0
End4.3
blue by 3.9
3970
#20
29.60.6
28.328.9
Auto5.7
Teleop17.4
End6.4
Second
2135
#36
18.50.3
21.421.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End2.6
blue by 4.8
5458
#23
23.40.5
23.724.3
Auto8.2
Teleop11.3
End3.9
Third
5499
#29
17.70.2
18.719.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.7
End3.7
blue by 3.4
3501
#31
21.20.6
19.420.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed