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Red190
25452.7
167853.3
397029.6
Blue94
349527.1
605923.8
64926.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171815010015020025019094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.30.4
52.452.7
Auto13.7
Teleop31.2
End8.4
red by 26.3
3495
#18
27.10.3
27.527.2
Auto3.5
Teleop20.5
End3.1
Second
254
#2
52.70.3
51.852.2
Auto13.8
Teleop32.7
End6.2
red by 26.6
649
#33
26.10.3
26.526.3
Auto5.0
Teleop18.1
End3.0
Third
3970
#20
29.60.4
28.629.0
Auto5.7
Teleop17.4
End6.4
red by 5.7
23.80.3
24.324.0
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1