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Red164
330950.1
347649.1
622018.7
Blue127
512439.5
183637.6
607218.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15010750200250164127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.10.0
50.250.2
Auto14.1
Teleop29.3
End6.7
red by 10.6
39.50.0
39.539.5
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End5.8
Second
49.10.0
49.249.2
Auto12.6
Teleop31.8
End4.7
red by 11.5
37.60.0
37.537.6
Auto11.6
Teleop21.5
End4.5
Third
6220
#34
18.70.0
18.818.8
Auto6.3
Teleop10.1
End2.3
red by 0.1
6072
#41
18.60.0
18.518.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7