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Qual 12016 Orange County Regional
Red70
276120.4
397036.6
58923.4
Blue52
476330.8
143819.2
563420.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786120401001207052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#6
36.60.8
29.6→28.8
Auto7.2
Teleop22.5
End6.9
red by 5.8
4763
#12
30.81.0
28.6→27.6
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End5.3
Second
589
#20
23.40.8
21.7→20.9
Auto10.3
Teleop9.4
End3.8
red by 3.3
5634
#31
20.11.1
16.8→15.7
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End3.3
Third
2761
#18
20.40.7
22.3→21.6
Auto6.1
Teleop10.9
End3.3
red by 1.2
1438
#19
19.21.1
16.5→15.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsMissed64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed