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Red28
411417.1
143819.2
248914.4
Blue42
607218.6
407924.6
543211.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52480204060801001202842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1438
#19
19.22.4
19.617.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
blue by 5.4
4079
#17
24.60.6
21.320.8
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End3.2
Second
4114
#29
17.12.4
14.111.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.0
End2.4
blue by 1.5
6072
#41
18.60.6
17.116.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End1.7
Third
2489
#37
14.42.4
16.113.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End1.5
red by 2.9
5432
#40
11.50.6
8.58.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed