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Red54
510021.6
58021.4
502516.5
Blue17
411417.1
499925.0
543211.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605401001502005417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5100
#23
21.60.4
15.515.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.4
End4.9
blue by 3.4
4999
#32
25.04.3
21.417.0
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End3.7
Second
580
#24
21.40.2
18.418.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End4.6
red by 4.2
4114
#29
17.14.6
16.411.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.0
End2.4
Third
5025
#39
16.50.3
23.623.3
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End3.5
red by 4.9
5432
#40
11.54.6
15.911.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed