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Red100
587720.8
581726.2
420136.7
Blue30
412324.9
329511.6
143819.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8356204010012014010030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.71.6
34.736.3
Auto9.2
Teleop22.4
End5.1
red by 11.7
4123
#22
24.92.9
26.523.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.3
End2.8
Second
5817
#21
26.21.6
28.029.5
Auto8.0
Teleop15.7
End2.4
red by 7.0
1438
#19
19.23.1
17.214.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Third
5877
#25
20.82.5
13.616.1
Auto5.2
Teleop12.8
End2.8
red by 9.2
3295
#35
11.61.9
14.712.8
Auto0.7
Teleop8.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsMissed53%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed