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Red92
183637.6
416118.5
587720.8
Blue77
499925.0
412324.9
563420.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6774204060801001209277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.61.1
32.533.6
Auto11.6
Teleop21.5
End4.5
red by 12.6
4999
#32
25.00.4
25.926.4
Auto3.1
Teleop18.2
End3.7
Second
5877
#25
20.81.4
17.919.4
Auto5.2
Teleop12.8
End2.8
blue by 4.1
4123
#22
24.90.6
24.124.7
Auto7.9
Teleop14.3
End2.8
Third
4161
#27
18.51.4
15.516.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End1.6
blue by 1.6
5634
#31
20.10.6
20.521.1
Auto6.9
Teleop9.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed