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Red80
395324.1
183637.6
405621.6
Blue70
345323.4
512439.5
606921.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586602040801001208070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.2
23.223.4
Auto11.6
Teleop21.5
End4.5
blue by 1.9
39.50.7
30.531.2
Auto10.1
Teleop23.7
End5.8
Second
3953
#33
24.10.3
17.918.1
Auto6.1
Teleop12.9
End5.2
red by 0.8
3453
#16
23.40.8
16.717.5
Auto7.3
Teleop12.5
End3.6
Third
4056
#30
21.60.3
16.516.8
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End3.8
red by 0.3
6069
#26
21.24.8
21.216.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsMissed66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed