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Qual 702016 Orange County Regional
Red85
420136.7
606921.2
461924.5
Blue120
330950.1
397036.6
58021.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80111406010012014016018085120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#5
36.70.2
35.7→35.6
Auto9.2
Teleop22.4
End5.1
blue by 13.4
3309
#2
50.10.8
48.7→49.4
Auto14.1
Teleop29.3
End6.7
Second
4619
#38
24.50.2
25.6→25.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End4.2
blue by 12.1
3970
#6
36.60.8
34.2→34.9
Auto7.2
Teleop22.5
End6.9
Third
6069
#26
21.20.2
21.1→20.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.1
End4.0
blue by 0.1
580
#24
21.40.8
20.4→21.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed