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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Carson Division
Red179
102453.4
23336.1
589546.3
Blue169
162541.2
86853.1
213742.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184185160170180190200210179169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#7
53.40.5
55.2→54.7
Auto13.6
Teleop35.1
End4.7
red by 0.3
868
#42
53.10.0
53.5→53.6
Auto14.8
Teleop32.3
End6.0
Second
5895
#4
46.30.5
48.1→47.6
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
red by 4.1
2137
#10
42.10.0
42.6→42.6
Auto16.7
Teleop19.9
End5.6
Third
233
#41
36.10.5
37.9→37.4
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End7.1
blue by 5.1
1625
#53
41.20.0
41.6→41.6
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End8.5