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Qual 12016 Carson Division
Red110
545427.1
213742.1
212251.3
Blue85
23336.1
162541.2
609836.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11412005015020025030011085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#5
51.30.1
41.9→41.8
Auto13.9
Teleop26.4
End11.0
red by 10.2
1625
#53
41.22.0
42.1→40.1
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End8.5
Second
2137
#10
42.10.1
41.5→41.4
Auto16.7
Teleop19.9
End5.6
red by 5.6
6098
#54
36.62.0
35.2→33.2
Auto10.9
Teleop22.2
End3.6
Third
5454
#69
27.10.1
28.3→28.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.1
End4.8
blue by 9.0
233
#41
36.12.0
38.1→36.1
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
27%Capture oddsMissed30%Capture oddsMissed