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Red126
205249.5
90438.3
402630.6
Blue92
302131.1
277150.3
589721.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12210740608010014016012692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.6
48.148.8
Auto14.0
Teleop27.8
End7.7
blue by 0.9
2771
#26
50.30.9
52.151.2
Auto14.9
Teleop28.4
End7.0
Second
904
#30
38.30.6
38.138.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.6
End11.9
red by 7.3
3021
#71
31.10.9
32.231.3
Auto8.6
Teleop17.8
End4.7
Third
4026
#48
30.60.6
30.431.0
Auto12.3
Teleop14.9
End3.4
red by 8.9
5897
#68
21.70.9
21.520.6
Auto8.5
Teleop10.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned14%Capture oddsMissed