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Qual 1162016 Carson Division
Red136
213742.1
402846.0
6028.3
Blue96
240337.1
198736.6
1127.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231035015020013696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#19
46.00.4
45.5→45.1
Auto11.2
Teleop25.9
End8.8
red by 8.9
2403
#29
37.10.5
37.6→37.1
Auto7.6
Teleop23.2
End6.3
Second
2137
#10
42.10.4
42.6→42.2
Auto16.7
Teleop19.9
End5.6
red by 5.5
1987
#32
36.60.5
37.1→36.6
Auto13.0
Teleop19.5
End4.2
Third
60
#51
28.30.4
28.7→28.3
Auto6.9
Teleop17.1
End4.3
red by 0.5
11
#59
27.80.5
28.3→27.8
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
16%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed