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Red89
240337.1
412124.0
589721.7
Blue87
5130.6
265536.0
459224.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71940501502002508987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#29
37.11.1
30.531.6
Auto7.6
Teleop23.2
End6.3
red by 1.1
2655
#27
36.00.4
31.931.5
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.8
Second
4121
#65
24.01.3
22.223.6
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.1
blue by 6.6
51
#67
30.60.4
32.732.3
Auto11.5
Teleop15.9
End3.2
Third
5897
#68
21.71.2
19.921.1
Auto8.5
Teleop10.0
End3.2
blue by 2.9
4592
#60
24.60.4
23.222.8
Auto7.3
Teleop14.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed35%Capture oddsMissed