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Qual 272016 Carson Division
Red127
382448.9
590734.6
353842.8
Blue160
248640.3
97351.7
213742.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117127050100150200250300127160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#47
48.90.8
48.4→49.2
Auto15.9
Teleop27.7
End5.4
blue by 2.8
973
#1
51.72.5
46.1→48.6
Auto18.3
Teleop25.8
End7.6
Second
3538
#43
42.80.8
34.8→35.6
Auto12.1
Teleop26.8
End3.8
red by 0.6
2137
#10
42.12.5
42.0→44.5
Auto16.7
Teleop19.9
End5.6
Third
5907
#16
34.60.8
32.2→33.0
Auto11.9
Teleop17.1
End5.6
blue by 5.7
2486
#24
40.32.5
34.1→36.7
Auto10.8
Teleop24.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
28%Capture oddsMissed23%Capture oddsEarned