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Qual 372016 Carson Division
Red122
566329.7
212251.3
397040.1
Blue135
4144.3
571233.2
102453.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10214250200250122135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#5
51.30.8
43.2→44.0
Auto13.9
Teleop26.4
End11.0
blue by 2.1
1024
#7
53.40.2
55.9→55.7
Auto13.6
Teleop35.1
End4.7
Second
3970
#45
40.10.8
37.5→38.3
Auto7.8
Teleop25.8
End6.5
blue by 4.1
41
#15
44.30.2
40.7→40.5
Auto12.4
Teleop27.3
End4.6
Third
5663
#22
29.70.9
24.6→25.5
Auto11.3
Teleop13.7
End4.7
blue by 3.5
5712
#34
33.20.2
35.8→35.7
Auto10.6
Teleop18.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed63%Capture oddsMissed