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Qual 492016 Carson Division
Red104
589721.7
171848.8
90438.3
Blue77
247443.6
136914.2
1127.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029640608012014016010477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#6
48.80.0
41.9→42.0
Auto10.7
Teleop32.0
End6.1
red by 5.2
2474
#21
43.61.1
42.9→41.8
Auto10.6
Teleop27.5
End5.5
Second
904
#30
38.30.0
36.0→36.0
Auto9.8
Teleop16.6
End11.9
red by 10.5
11
#59
27.81.1
30.5→29.4
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Third
5897
#68
21.70.0
20.5→20.5
Auto8.5
Teleop10.0
End3.2
red by 7.5
1369
#75
14.21.1
20.5→19.3
Auto2.3
Teleop10.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed13%Capture oddsMissed