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Red117
426433.7
220230.9
299637.0
Blue115
240337.1
571233.2
248640.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101112050150200250117115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#25
37.00.8
38.038.8
Auto8.1
Teleop26.1
End2.8
blue by 3.3
2486
#24
40.30.5
38.238.7
Auto10.8
Teleop24.1
End5.4
Second
4264
#13
33.70.8
32.132.9
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End5.4
blue by 3.5
2403
#29
37.10.5
35.536.0
Auto7.6
Teleop23.2
End6.3
Third
2202
#52
30.90.8
29.930.7
Auto7.0
Teleop19.6
End4.4
blue by 2.3
5712
#34
33.20.5
34.034.5
Auto10.6
Teleop18.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned6%Capture oddsEarned