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Red152
589546.3
191851.6
259049.3
Blue115
115634.9
353842.8
52546.2
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15211050200250152115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.60.7
50.751.4
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
red by 5.3
525
#33
46.20.2
44.244.0
Auto16.4
Teleop22.0
End7.8
Second
49.30.7
44.845.6
Auto12.5
Teleop30.1
End6.7
red by 6.5
3538
#43
42.80.2
36.436.2
Auto12.1
Teleop26.8
End3.8
Third
46.30.7
45.846.5
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End6.0
red by 11.4
1156
#61
34.90.2
32.031.8
Auto7.1
Teleop24.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
95%Capture oddsEarned25%Capture oddsMissed