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Red82
508432.0
602524.9
1127.8
Blue103
113732.3
136914.2
590734.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858820406010012014016082103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5084
#57
32.00.7
31.130.4
Auto10.8
Teleop15.5
End5.7
blue by 2.6
5907
#16
34.60.2
33.433.6
Auto11.9
Teleop17.1
End5.6
Second
11
#59
27.80.7
29.428.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
blue by 4.5
1137
#14
32.30.2
31.932.1
Auto10.7
Teleop15.1
End6.5
Third
6025
#72
24.90.8
22.121.3
Auto7.5
Teleop14.3
End3.1
red by 10.7
1369
#75
14.20.2
19.319.6
Auto2.3
Teleop10.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed23%Capture oddsMissed