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Qual 712016 Carson Division
Red165
277150.3
413137.8
97351.7
Blue110
591323.7
4144.3
191851.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811350100200250165110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#1
51.71.8
49.4→51.2
Auto18.3
Teleop25.8
End7.6
red by 0.2
1918
#9
51.60.3
51.4→51.1
Auto13.5
Teleop27.9
End10.2
Second
2771
#26
50.31.8
54.1→55.9
Auto14.9
Teleop28.4
End7.0
red by 6.1
41
#15
44.30.3
43.0→42.7
Auto12.4
Teleop27.3
End4.6
Third
4131
#44
37.81.8
34.9→36.6
Auto8.2
Teleop23.4
End6.1
red by 14.1
5913
#38
23.70.3
20.6→20.3
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
66%Capture oddsEarned20%Capture oddsMissed