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Red125
532631.2
57338.7
335744.7
Blue123
111454.4
356223.4
533324.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11996406080140160180125123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.70.9
44.545.4
Auto13.9
Teleop25.8
End5.0
blue by 9.6
1114
#27
54.41.4
53.454.8
Auto17.6
Teleop27.5
End9.3
Second
573
#15
38.70.9
36.737.6
Auto9.7
Teleop24.7
End4.4
red by 14.6
5333
#67
24.21.4
21.823.3
Auto4.9
Teleop15.6
End3.6
Third
5326
#29
31.20.9
30.731.5
Auto8.9
Teleop20.2
End2.2
red by 7.8
3562
#71
23.41.4
21.222.7
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
29%Capture oddsEarned8%Capture oddsEarned