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Red103
440520.5
172928.8
36049.5
Blue102
276753.0
587023.0
221226.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021038090110120130103102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#19
49.50.1
48.048.0
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End5.8
blue by 3.5
2767
#13
53.00.2
52.152.3
Auto14.2
Teleop30.9
End7.8
Second
1729
#69
28.80.1
28.728.6
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4
red by 2.8
2212
#64
26.00.2
25.025.2
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End4.3
Third
4405
#60
20.50.1
22.622.5
Auto7.5
Teleop9.8
End3.2
blue by 2.4
5870
#70
23.00.2
21.922.1
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
19%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsEarned