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Red132
551834.9
22836.7
276753.0
Blue141
592434.8
33061.0
7839.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12613550100150200132141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#13
53.00.2
52.352.6
Auto14.2
Teleop30.9
End7.8
blue by 8.0
330
#2
61.00.8
55.756.4
Auto15.2
Teleop35.4
End10.5
Second
228
#34
36.70.2
36.837.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
blue by 2.9
78
#18
39.70.8
38.939.7
Auto15.1
Teleop19.1
End5.5
Third
5518
#32
34.90.2
34.734.9
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End4.8
red by 0.1
5924
#37
34.80.8
35.135.9
Auto10.1
Teleop18.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
49%Capture oddsMissed27%Capture oddsEarned