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Qual 132016 Carver Division
Red132
130546.5
83436.8
248159.6
Blue131
13359.3
504840.1
172928.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112450100150200132131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#8
59.60.5
55.0→54.6
Auto20.0
Teleop33.0
End6.6
red by 0.2
133
#1
59.30.6
54.4→55.0
Auto18.0
Teleop30.8
End10.5
Second
1305
#7
46.50.5
45.6→45.1
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End4.7
red by 6.4
5048
#55
40.10.6
38.0→38.6
Auto9.2
Teleop21.5
End9.5
Third
834
#14
36.80.5
33.7→33.2
Auto12.2
Teleop20.6
End4.1
red by 8.1
1729
#69
28.80.6
29.7→30.3
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
80%Capture oddsEarned73%Capture oddsMissed