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Red88
582227.5
598039.2
152932.6
Blue105
57338.7
111454.4
589121.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031175015088105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5980
#52
39.21.0
39.238.3
Auto8.3
Teleop21.4
End9.5
blue by 15.2
1114
#27
54.40.5
54.353.9
Auto17.6
Teleop27.5
End9.3
Second
1529
#44
32.61.0
36.035.1
Auto7.4
Teleop19.3
End5.8
blue by 6.1
573
#15
38.70.5
36.335.8
Auto9.7
Teleop24.7
End4.4
Third
5822
#33
27.51.0
27.126.2
Auto7.9
Teleop16.0
End3.6
red by 5.7
5891
#36
21.80.6
21.520.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
36%Capture oddsEarned20%Capture oddsMissed