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Qual 222016 Carver Division
Red146
126236.9
183635.7
33061.0
Blue113
105845.4
166525.4
2041.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13110750150200146113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#2
61.01.1
54.7→55.8
Auto15.2
Teleop35.4
End10.5
red by 15.6
1058
#51
45.40.0
45.4→45.5
Auto8.8
Teleop26.0
End10.6
Second
1262
#12
36.91.1
32.4→33.5
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.1
blue by 4.3
20
#16
41.10.0
37.7→37.7
Auto11.2
Teleop24.1
End5.8
Third
1836
#26
35.71.1
36.7→37.9
Auto8.9
Teleop19.8
End7.1
red by 10.3
1665
#72
25.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto4.5
Teleop16.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned37%Capture oddsMissed