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Red80
504840.1
148137.4
583021.7
Blue114
360029.8
353637.0
453631.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610805015080114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5048
#55
40.10.5
38.638.1
Auto9.2
Teleop21.5
End9.5
red by 3.1
3536
#20
37.00.8
38.839.6
Auto11.9
Teleop20.8
End4.3
Second
1481
#48
37.40.5
34.233.7
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End7.2
red by 6.2
4536
#22
31.20.8
30.431.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.5
Third
5830
#68
21.70.5
14.313.8
Auto7.4
Teleop11.2
End3.1
blue by 8.2
3600
#57
29.80.8
32.933.7
Auto8.2
Teleop18.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsEarned