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Red86
547226.3
164830.4
598039.2
Blue141
36049.5
83436.8
84249.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9312605015020086141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5980
#52
39.20.6
38.337.7
Auto8.3
Teleop21.4
End9.5
blue by 10.5
842
#5
49.70.1
44.043.8
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End8.6
Second
1648
#61
30.40.6
32.632.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
blue by 19.1
360
#19
49.50.1
40.640.5
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End5.8
Third
5472
#28
26.30.6
24.223.6
Auto10.2
Teleop12.1
End4.0
blue by 10.5
834
#14
36.80.1
33.233.1
Auto12.2
Teleop20.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
20%Capture oddsMissed43%Capture oddsEarned