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Red81
592031.3
453631.2
345241.4
Blue146
445144.8
12044.8
22836.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081185015020081146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#43
41.41.7
42.140.4
Auto7.8
Teleop27.3
End6.3
blue by 3.4
120
#62
44.82.2
40.642.8
Auto10.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3
Second
5920
#63
31.31.7
33.131.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End5.4
blue by 13.4
4451
#17
44.82.2
40.742.9
Auto11.5
Teleop26.5
End6.7
Third
4536
#22
31.21.7
31.229.5
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.5
blue by 5.6
228
#34
36.72.2
31.633.8
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
60%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned