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Red93
533324.2
164830.4
22836.7
Blue99
14135.5
152932.6
29528.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87102204060801201401609399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#34
36.70.4
33.834.2
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
red by 1.3
141
#54
35.50.2
35.335.1
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End4.3
Second
1648
#61
30.40.4
32.032.4
Auto8.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
blue by 2.2
1529
#44
32.60.2
35.034.8
Auto7.4
Teleop19.3
End5.8
Third
5333
#67
24.20.4
21.021.4
Auto4.9
Teleop15.6
End3.6
blue by 3.9
295
#23
28.10.2
26.626.4
Auto10.5
Teleop14.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed19%Capture oddsMissed