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Qual 472016 Carver Division
Red60
356223.4
12044.8
19030.8
Blue103
581625.6
33061.0
221226.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9911040608012014016018060103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#62
44.82.5
42.8→40.3
Auto10.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3
blue by 16.2
330
#2
61.00.5
55.8→55.3
Auto15.2
Teleop35.4
End10.5
Second
190
#65
30.82.5
32.9→30.3
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
red by 4.8
2212
#64
26.00.6
25.6→25.0
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End4.3
Third
3562
#71
23.42.5
22.5→19.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End4.6
blue by 2.2
5816
#66
25.60.5
24.2→23.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsMissed96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed