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Red110
453631.2
164830.4
263430.6
Blue102
19030.8
276753.0
547226.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85112204060100120140160180110102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#22
31.21.6
27.929.5
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.5
blue by 21.8
2767
#13
53.00.2
50.350.1
Auto14.2
Teleop30.9
End7.8
Second
2634
#30
30.61.6
26.127.6
Auto10.3
Teleop15.5
End4.9
blue by 0.1
190
#65
30.80.2
30.330.1
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Third
1648
#61
30.41.6
32.433.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
red by 4.1
5472
#28
26.30.2
24.424.2
Auto10.2
Teleop12.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned47%Capture oddsMissed