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Qual 582016 Carver Division
Red117
14135.5
440520.5
111454.4
Blue146
130546.5
50342.0
7839.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11413350100150200117146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#27
54.40.2
54.9→55.1
Auto17.6
Teleop27.5
End9.3
red by 7.8
1305
#7
46.50.0
45.6→45.6
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End4.7
Second
141
#54
35.50.2
35.1→35.3
Auto9.1
Teleop22.0
End4.3
blue by 6.5
503
#11
42.00.0
39.8→39.8
Auto10.2
Teleop21.3
End10.5
Third
4405
#60
20.50.2
23.4→23.6
Auto7.5
Teleop9.8
End3.2
blue by 19.1
78
#18
39.70.0
40.5→40.5
Auto15.1
Teleop19.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
24%Capture oddsMissed88%Capture oddsMissed