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Red120
22836.7
264839.2
126236.9
Blue105
83436.8
373524.3
38430.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1148250100150200120105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#31
39.20.2
37.737.9
Auto10.0
Teleop25.4
End3.8
red by 2.4
834
#14
36.81.4
33.735.1
Auto12.2
Teleop20.6
End4.1
Second
1262
#12
36.90.2
33.633.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.8
End6.1
red by 6.3
384
#50
30.61.4
28.429.8
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
Third
228
#34
36.70.2
35.335.5
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
red by 12.5
3735
#74
24.31.4
21.923.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
65%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsMissed